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LLMs Are Not (Consistently) Bayesian: Quantifying Internal (In)consistencies of LLMs’ Probabilistic Beliefs

Modern AI systems are being deployed in complex domains such as medicine, science, and law, where there is often not a single correct answer given the observed evidence. Such systems must be able to represent and update uncertain beliefs about the world as new evidence arrives to make rational decisions. We introduce the novel technique of studying LLMs as information processing rules and utilize the information...

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Modern AI systems are being deployed in complex domains such as medicine, science, and law, where there is often not a single correct answer given the observed evidence. Such systems must be able to represent and update uncertain beliefs about the world as new evidence arrives to make rational decisions. We introduce the novel technique of studying LLMs as information processing rules and utilize the information...

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1 articles · 1 publication d'origine · 1 independantes

  1. Apple Machine Learning ResearchSource primaire · Confirme · EN · 100%
    LLMs Are Not (Consistently) Bayesian: Quantifying Internal (In)consistencies of LLMs’ Probabilistic Beliefs

Affirmations

  • LLMs Are Not (Consistently) Bayesian: Quantifying Internal (In)consistencies of LLMs’ Probabilistic Beliefs Observé

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Chronologie

  1. Premier signalement

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Explication des scores

Confiance · formule confidence-2.1.0
Fiabilité des sources78
Corroboration indépendante51
Preuve primaire100
Cohérence des affirmations82
Confiance d'extraction82
Qualité de l'attribution90
Impact · formule impact-2.1.0
Ampleur de l'événement82
Pertinence marché88
Importance des entités42
Étendue du marché45
Nouveauté68
Urgence74
Classement · formule rank-1.0.0
Facteur de confiance0.8965
Facteur de fraîcheur0.829
Bonus d'urgence0
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