Prediction Markets Abandon Cheap Oil as Brent Passes $100
Myriad's $120 side overtook $55 at the start of September, while Polymarket puts WTI reaching $100 this month at 59%.
What happened
Myriad's $120 side overtook $55 at the start of September, while Polymarket puts WTI reaching $100 this month at 59%.
Why it matters
The development may change operating conditions or market expectations around Crypto. Further confirmation and measurable outcomes matter.
Affected entities
View evidence
1 reports · 1 original report · 1 independent
- DecryptPrimary source · Supports · EN · 100%Prediction Markets Abandon Cheap Oil as Brent Passes $100 ↗
Claims
- Prediction Markets Abandon Cheap Oil as Brent Passes $100 Observed
Conflicts
No material conflict detected in the available evidence.
Timeline
- First reported
Market move following event
Market reaction is not yet available for this asset and time window.
Score explanation
Confidence · formula confidence-2.1.0
Source trust80
Independent corroboration51
Primary evidence35
Claim consistency82
Extraction confidence82
Attribution quality90
Impact · formula impact-2.1.0
Event magnitude45
Market relevance88
Entity significance42
Market breadth45
Novelty68
Urgency55
capital magnitude44
Ranking · formula rank-1.0.0
Confidence factor0.8425
Freshness factor0.9997
Breaking bonus0