EU Regulator Says Prediction Markets Are 'Rife With Inside Trading'
ESMA also asks why Kalshi and Polymarket block some EU countries but not others, and notes VPNs get around the blocks.
What happened
ESMA also asks why Kalshi and Polymarket block some EU countries but not others, and notes VPNs get around the blocks.
Why it matters
The decision may change compliance obligations, market access or operating costs for ESMA.
Affected entities
ESMANeutral
View evidence
1 reports · 1 original report · 1 independent
- DecryptPrimary source · Supports · EN · 100%EU Regulator Says Prediction Markets Are 'Rife With Inside Trading' ↗
Claims
- EU Regulator Says Prediction Markets Are 'Rife With Inside Trading' Observed
Conflicts
No material conflict detected in the available evidence.
Timeline
- First reported
Market move following event
Market reaction is not yet available for this asset and time window.
Score explanation
Confidence · formula confidence-2.1.0
Source trust65
Independent corroboration51
Primary evidence35
Claim consistency82
Extraction confidence82
Attribution quality90
Impact · formula impact-2.1.0
Event magnitude82
Market relevance88
Entity significance88
Market breadth54
Novelty68
Urgency78
Ranking · formula rank-1.0.0
Confidence factor0.82
Freshness factor0.9996
Breaking bonus8